SideGig Math

MRR & Churn Calculator

See where a subscription business is heading from its customers, price and churn.

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Monthly recurring revenue today
–
Lost to churn this month–
Net change in customers per month–
Customers in 12 months–
MRR in 12 months–
Customer lifetime value–
Where customers level off–

Why churn decides how big you can grow

Monthly recurring revenue (MRR) is the predictable income a subscription, membership or retainer business earns each month. Growing it depends on two numbers: how many customers you add and how many you lose. Churn matters more than most people expect. Because you lose a percentage of customers every month, the bigger you get, the more you lose, until new sign-ups only replace the people leaving.

That leveling-off point is shown as "where customers level off". If it is lower than you hoped, reducing churn is often a faster route to growth than finding more new customers.

The formula

MRR = customers × average price
Customers next month = customers × (1 − churn) + new customers
Lifetime value = average price ÷ monthly churn
Level-off point = new customers per month ÷ monthly churn

Worked example

You have 200 customers paying $20 a month, so MRR is $4,000. At 5% churn you lose 10 customers ($200 of MRR) a month while adding 15, a net gain of 5. After 12 months you would have about 246 customers and $4,920 MRR. Each customer is worth $20 ÷ 0.05 = $400 over their lifetime, and growth slows as you approach 15 ÷ 0.05 = 300 customers.

Ways to reduce churn

Frequently asked questions

What is a good monthly churn rate?

It depends on price and audience. Low-priced consumer subscriptions often see 5% to 10% a month, while business software aims for well under 2%.

Does this include upgrades and downgrades?

No. It uses one average price. If customers often change plans, update the average price as it moves.

Can I use it for retainer clients?

Yes. Treat each retainer client as a customer and their monthly fee as the price.